Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jun 8, 2026, 02:19
Resolve date
Jun 10, 2026, 08:05
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| August 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| August 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.