Description
Yes: either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the United States Senate seat by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Formal departure must follow applicable laws and procedures; temporary leaves do not qualify.
Price history
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Market stats
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24h change
7D change
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30D change
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All-time high
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Created
Jul 14, 2026, 23:40
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2026, 23:59
Position in event
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Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No." Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.