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Description
July unemployment rate is the seasonally adjusted U-3 measure reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the July 2026 Employment Situation Report. Data released on August 7, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET will settle the market to the corresponding percentage, based on Table A-15 and rounded to one decimal place; revisions after the initial release do not affect settlement. If August data is delayed, the market resolves using the last available month.
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for July 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.