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Description
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? The Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range—lower and upper bounds—will settle this event based on whether either limit reaches a specified level at any time before December 31, 2026 (12:59 PM ET). Data from emergency moves and scheduled FOMC decisions are included, with the Federal Reserve’s official policy page as the resolution source. The market distinguishes each threshold outcome by its named level and direction.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
21
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 5.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 4.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 4.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 4.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 2.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 1.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 1.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 1.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 0.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 0.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 0.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 2.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 2.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 2.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 3.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 3.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 3.5% | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.