Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Fed rate cuts in 2026 span every 25 basis-point move, including December actions, with emergency cuts counted toward the total. The market tallies the exact number of 25bp cuts in 2026, including composite moves like a 50bp shift counted as two cuts, and remains open through December 31, 2026 to capture any extraordinary actions. If the strike level becomes impossible due to excess cuts already taken, the market resolves to No.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
13
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 (0 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1 (25 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 (50 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 (75 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 (100 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 (125 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 6 (150 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 (175 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 8 (200 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 9 (225 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 10 (250 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 11 (275 bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 12+ (300+ bps) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.