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Description
The How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31? markets track the U.S. 10-year yield reaching or exceeding specified levels from December 9, 2025 through March 31, 2026. Settlement occurs if any daily Treasury yield on the 10-year line meets or surpasses the target, as published in the Department of the Treasury’s Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates. If no date hits the threshold, the market settles to No.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).