Description
↑ 5.0%: The lower or upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches 5.0% at any point by December 31, 2026 (12:59 PM ET). Settlement relies on Fed policy updates published on the Federal Reserve’s site.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Nov 18, 2025, 20:38
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 5.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 4.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 4.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↑ 4.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 2.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 1.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 1.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 1.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 0.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 0.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 0.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 2.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 2.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 2.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 3.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 3.25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ↓ 3.5% | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.