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Description
Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair nomination and its status by May 15, 2026: the market resolves to Yes if the nomination is formally withdrawn by 11:59 PM ET on May 15, 2026; otherwise, it resolves to No. A Senate rejection does not count as withdrawal, and formal confirmation by the Senate yields No. If the nomination remains pending through the deadline, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies on official statements from Warsh, the Trump Administration, or the Senate, or credible reporting consensus when needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.