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Description
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? The market resolves to the first individual formally confirmed by the Senate as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments do not count, and Senate confirmation of a separate Fed Board member does not qualify. If no chair confirmation occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles to Other. Resolution relies on official Senate announcements, with credible reporting as a fallback.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
35
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Warsh | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Judy Shelton | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kevin Hassett | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Christopher Waller | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jerome Powell | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stephen Miran | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Scott Bessent | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michelle Bowman | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person B | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person M | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person N | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rick Reider | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.