Description
Judy Shelton to be confirmed as Fed Chair. Settles only if the Senate formalizes Shelton as Chair; recess appointments do not count, and Board of Governors membership alone is insufficient.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Mar 4, 2026, 20:51
Resolve date
May 14, 2026, 01:22
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Warsh | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Judy Shelton | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kevin Hassett | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Christopher Waller | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jerome Powell | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stephen Miran | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Scott Bessent | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michelle Bowman | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person B | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person M | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person N | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rick Reider | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.