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Description
Donald Trump to act on Jerome Powell's chairmanship by March 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Trump publicly and unequivocally announces removal of Powell or takes formal action toward removal by 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2026; informal statements or contingent assertions do not qualify. Resolution relies on an official Trump statement or a credible, consensus reporting of formal action.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.