Price history
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Description
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner identifies the candidate who secures the Republican nomination for the KY-04 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterms. The May 19, 2026 primary determines the nominee, with settlement to the named candidate if the official Republican results confirm a winner. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the event settles to Other. Resolution relies on a consensus of official Republican sources, including the RNC website.
Event stats
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20
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Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Massie | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nicole Lee Ethington | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ed Gallrein | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Robert Wells Jr. | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.