Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff on June 27, 2026 determines the margin of victory between the top two candidates. The margin equals the absolute difference in their shares of valid votes, calculated from the sum of all valid votes. If the reported margin lands exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies. If tied for first among listed candidates, the tie is resolved by the listed candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically; if only one tied candidate is listed, use that candidate’s bracket; if neither tied candidate is listed, the result is Other. Official results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State govern resolution, with credible reporting as a fallback, and the market closes if results are not definitively known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If a recount occurs, the market remains open until totals are official.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
8
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028NY-13 Democratic Primary WinnerNY-07 Democratic Primary WinnerUT-01 Democratic Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of VictoryMD-05 Democratic Primary WinnerMaryland Governor Republican Primary WinnerMD-06 Democratic Primary WinnerNY-15 Democratic Primary Winner
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Letlow 25%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Letlow 20–25% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Letlow 15–20% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Letlow 10–15% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Letlow 5–10% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Letlow <5% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fleming Wins | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The Louisiana Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary runoff election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Louisiana, such as official statewide results published by the Louisiana Secretary of State (https://www.sos.la.gov); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.