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Description
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? Luigi Mangione will be released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Release may occur under any non-custodial condition or as part of parole, bond, or other arrangement that ends state custody; jailbreak or escape that results in liberation also satisfies. Transfers within the corrections system do not resolve the market Yes. Resolution sources include official government or corrections department announcements or credible reporting consensus if needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.