Description
Donald Trump and Michael Wolff legal dispute risk markets focus on whether Trump will file a lawsuit against Wolff by March 31, 2026. Resolution requires an actual filed complaint in court by the deadline; mere intent or threat does not qualify, and the primary resolution source is the court filing, with credible reporting as a fallback if needed.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump sue Michael Wolff by March 31? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Michael Wolff by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.