Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes to win the MO-02 Republican primary for the U.S. House in 2026. Settlement follows the first official Republican nomination announcement; if no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Peter Pfeifer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ryan Sheridan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ann Wagner | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Brandon Wilkinson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.