Yes: Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France at any point within the calendar year 2025, inclusive, with immediate settlement if departure occurs before December 31, 2025 (11:59 PM ET). Resolution follows the French government and credible reporting.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.