Mark Kenneth Arness to win the MD-05 Democratic primary for the U.S. House seat in 2026. Settlement follows the first official nomination announcement; nominee changes before election day don’t alter the outcome. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Boafo | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alexis Solis | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Arthur Ellis | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dave Sundberg | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Elldwnia English | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ellis Colvin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Harry Dunn | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Harry Jarin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Harold Tolbert | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Heather Luper | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| James Makle Jr. | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jerry Lightfoot | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Keith Salkowski | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kenneth Simons | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Leigha Messick | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mark Kenneth Arness | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nicole Williams | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Quincy Bareebe | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Reuben Collins II | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rushern Baker III | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Terry Jackson | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tracy Starr | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Walter Kirkland | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wala Blegay | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.