Description
December 31: Yes if Meloni ceases to be Prime Minister for any period before June 30, 2026; immediate Yes on announced resignation/removal before the end date. Settlement via Italian government results or credible reporting.
December 31: Yes if Meloni ceases to be Prime Minister for any period before June 30, 2026; immediate Yes on announced resignation/removal before the end date. Settlement via Italian government results or credible reporting.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.