Description
Hartzell Gray to win the MO-04 Democratic primary for the U.S. House in 2026. Settlement follows the first nominee announcement by official Democratic sources; if no nominee by November 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Jul 8, 2026, 22:01
Resolve date
Aug 4, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeanette Cass | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hartzell Gray | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jordan Herrera | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Randy Miller | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| G Rick | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ashleigh Rogers | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wayne Russell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.