National Party to finish second in seats in the 2026 New Zealand general election, with ties broken by total party-list votes and, if needed, by party name alphabetically. Settlement based on official results or credible reporting, with a fallback to Other if results are not definitive by Oct 31, 2027.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Labour Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Green Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ACT New Zealand | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| New Zealand First Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Te Pāti Māori | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).