Description
PSDB to hold the most seats in the Brazilian Senate after the 2026 election. Settlement follows official results from TSE or credible reporting; tie-breakers resolved by alphabetic order of party abbreviations.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Feb 11, 2026, 22:42
Resolve date
Oct 4, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PSD | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MDB | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PT | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| UNIÃO | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PP | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PSB | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PODEMOS | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| REPUBLICANOS | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PSDB | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PDT | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| NOVO | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).