Price history
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Description
Anthropic’s Claude Opus releases are tracked with dates including August 31, October 31, December 31, July 31, July 17, and July 24. The Yes outcome resolves if Claude Opus model(s) named Opus become publicly available by the specified ET date, per Anthropic’s official announcements and corroborating credible reporting; No otherwise.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
8
Market highlights
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Top market
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.