Price history
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Description
Anthropic’s Claude Opus release timeline is the question: the next publicly accessible Opus model date. The market resolves to the specific date Anthropic publicly announces or the general-access release appears, through open beta or rolling waitlist, with no private access. A release by July 31, 2026 is the latest window, and no qualifying Opus variant beyond those explicitly named will count. The primary resolution source is official Anthropic announcements, corroborated by credible reporting if needed.
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18
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 15 or prior | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No release by July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public. Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.