Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Google Gemini Pro model release timing remains unsettled as investigations track public availability windows. The calendar-date resolution depends on Google’s official public release or open-access announcement, with confirming reporting from credible outlets listed alongside the primary source. Dates range from June 2 onward, and outcomes hinge on when Google makes a Gemini Pro model publicly accessible under an official, publicly announced label.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
30
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On or prior to June 2 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 4 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 5 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 20 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 23 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No release by June 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.