Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Claude 5 released by…? examines whether Anthropic makes Claude 5 publicly available by December 31, 2025 (11:59 PM ET). Yes resolves only if Claude 5 launches and is accessible to the general public, including open beta or open rolling waitlists. Private access or closed betas do not count; official public announcement and accessibility are required, with credible corroboration from reporting.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
12
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Which company has the best AI model end of March?Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?Largest Company end of June?Largest Company end of December 2026?DeepSeek V4 released by...?Which company has best AI model end of June?ChatGPT Outage by March 15?Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| February 28, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| February 14, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| February 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 15, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September 30, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 12, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 19, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.