Price history
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Description
Which company has the top AI model by end of March? On March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, the company whose model holds the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (Leaderboard tab, Leaderboard: Arena Score, style control on) will win. If scores tie, the company whose name comes first alphabetically resolves the market in Yes for the first name and No for the second under a tie scenario. The resolution source is the Leaderboard on lmarena.ai; if unavailable, the market remains open until the leaderboard is accessible again and resolves based on the first check after it returns, or another source if it becomes permanently unavailable.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
23
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Which company has the best AI model end of March?Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Which company has the second best AI model end of March?Which company has the third best AI model end of March?Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Which company has best AI model end of June?Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Anthropic | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OpenAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alibaba | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z.ai | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| xAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepSeek | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moonshot | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mistral | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meituan | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company A | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company B | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.