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Description
Which company owns the model with the third-highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard as of March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET? The winner is determined by the third-place score on the Leaderboard, using the Arena Score table under Leaderboard with style control off. If a tie for third exists at check time, the company name that comes first alphabetically resolves (e.g., Google before xAI). If the Leaderboard is unavailable at check time, the market remains open until it returns and resolves on the next check; if it never returns, a secondary resolution source will be used.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
25
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Which company has the best AI model end of March?Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Which company has the second best AI model end of March?Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Which company has best AI model end of June?Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Anthropic | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OpenAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alibaba | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baidu | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z.ai | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| xAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepSeek | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moonshot | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mistral | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meituan | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company A | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company B | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company M | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.