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Description
Which company owns the top AI model by arena score on June 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET? The market resolves to the company with the highest arena score from the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard Leaderboard tab, style-controlled with default view. Ties are resolved by alphabetical order of company names. If the leaderboard is unavailable, the market remains open until it returns and resolves via the first check after availability; if permanently unavailable, a fallback source will determine the outcome.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
19
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Which company has the best AI model end of March?Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Which company has best AI model end of June?Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Which company has the second best AI model end of March?Which company has the third best AI model end of March?Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Anthropic | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OpenAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alibaba | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z.ai | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| xAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepSeek | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moonshot | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mistral | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meituan | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Microsoft | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meta | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Amazon | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baidu | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ByteDance | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.