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Description
DeepSeek V4 release timing is the focus here. The market resolves to Yes if the next major DeepSeek V model becomes publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, via open access such as open beta or open rolling signups. Private or closed access does not count, and intermediate versions do not qualify. The resolution rests on an official DeepSeek announcement corroborated by credible reporting.
Event stats
24h volume
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Liquidity
Markets
9
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| February 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.