Description
February 28: Yes if the next DeepSeek V model is publicly released and accessible to the general public by 11:59 PM ET on February 28, 2026; open access required, private previews excluded.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
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Created
Feb 4, 2026, 18:12
Resolve date
Mar 1, 2026, 09:39
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| February 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.