Description
On or prior to July 1: Gemini Pro model released and publicly accessible on or before July 1, 2026, in ET, as announced by Google and corroborated by credible reporting.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jun 26, 2026, 21:50
Resolve date
Jul 2, 2026, 06:02
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On or prior to July 1 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 2 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 4 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 5 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No release by July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.