Elly Schlein to become the next Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028 (11:59 PM ET). Needs official appointment and swearing-in; interim leaders excluded. Settlement based on Government of Italy announcements, or credible reporting if necessary.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgia Meloni | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Elly Schlein | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Giuseppe Conte | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Antonio Tajani | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Matteo Salvini | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Guido Crosetto | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mario Draghi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Silvia Salis | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Roberto Vannacci | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Matteo Renzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Angelo Bonelli | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carlo Calenda | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Person K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Person X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AA | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Person AP | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AQ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AR | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AS | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AT | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AU | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AV | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AW | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AX | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AY | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AZ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.