Description
Balendra “Balen” Shah to be sworn in as Nepal’s next Prime Minister after the March 5, 2026 elections. Sworn-in status determines settlement; interim leaders do not count.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Feb 16, 2026, 16:52
Resolve date
Mar 5, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gagan Kumar Thapa | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Balendra “Balen” Shah | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KP Sharma Oli | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Prachanda | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Madhav Kumar Nepal | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rabi Lamichhane | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kulman Ghising | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Harka Sampang | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sushila Karki | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Person E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Person J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Nepal following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Nepal; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.