Description
Alexandru Rafila to become Romania’s next Prime Minister by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Settlement hinges on presidential appointment and a parliamentary confidence vote.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
May 5, 2026, 17:14
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mugur Isărescu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mircea Geoană | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anca Dragu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lucian Isar | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cătălin Predoiu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sorin Grindeanu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| George Simion | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ilie Bolojan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marcel Ciolacu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alexandru Rafila | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sebastian Burduja | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ionuț Dumitru | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Elena Lasconi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cătălin Drulă | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vasile Dîncu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dacian Cioloș | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Emil Boc | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dominic Fritz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Raluca Turcan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lucian Croitoru | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Delia Velculescu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nicolae Ciucă | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hunor Kelemen | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Calin Georgescu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Radu Burnete | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Șerban Matei | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alexandru Nazare | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alexandru Rogobete | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dragoș Pîslaru | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Traian Basescu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan Motreanu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Victor Ponta | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ciprian Ciucu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eugen Tomac | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Siegfried Mureșan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Adrian Veștea | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.