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Description
Thai legislative elections are expected in early 2026, after which the House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister. This market resolves to Yes if the next Thai prime minister is officially chosen by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, via a passing vote in the House; interim or caretaker leaders do not count. The primary resolution source is the Government of Thailand, with credible reporting as a fallback when needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Thailand in January or February, 2026. The Thai House of Representatives will select the next Prime Minister of Thailand following this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next prime minister of Thailand is officially selected by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any prime minister formally selected by passing a vote in the Thai House of Representatives within this market’s timeframe will count, regardless of whether they have been officially appointed by the King of Thailand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Thailand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.