Description
Luke Pollard to be the next Defence Secretary of the United Kingdom, appointed by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). Settlement relies on the Monarch's formal appointment; interim ministers do not count.
Price history
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Market stats
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Created
Jul 6, 2026, 21:19
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2026, 23:59
Position in event
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Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Healey | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Al Carns | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Luke Pollard | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Douglas Alexander | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Heidi Alexander | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yvette Cooper | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Louise Haigh | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pat McFadden | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No next Defence Secretary in 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Event Rules
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Defence Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Defence Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Defence Secretary is appointed, or Dan Jarvis is re-appointed as Defence Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Defence Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.