No next Home Secretary in 2026 if no official appointment by 31 December 2026 or if Shabana Mahmood is re-appointed. Interim or caretaker appointees do not count toward resolution. Settlement relies on official government information or credible reporting.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat McFadden | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ed Miliband | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yvette Cooper | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stephen Kinnock | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| David Lammy | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jess Phillips | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan Jarvis | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Angela Rayner | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No next Home Secretary in 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mike Tapp | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Healey | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wes Streeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Home Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Home Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Home Secretary is appointed, or Shabana Mahmood is re-appointed as Home Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Home Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.