Description
July 21: Yes if the next UK Prime Minister is officially appointed by the Monarch by July 21, 11:59 PM ET; interim leaders do not count. Settlement relies on government confirmation or credible reporting.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
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Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Jul 14, 2026, 16:02
Resolve date
Jul 21, 2026, 23:59
Position in event
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24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.