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Description
No-confidence vote against Spain's Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting government is possible in the Congress of Deputies by June 30, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a formal motion of no-confidence is voted upon by that deadline, with a replacement candidate considered; informal calls or non-binding statements do not qualify. Settlement relies on official government information, or a credible reporting consensus if needed.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
3
Market highlights
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Top market
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Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.