Description
July 31: the market considers a no-confidence vote by July 31, 2026 if not resolved by June 30. This is a secondary deadline used only if the primary condition is not met and a formal motion has not been voted on by June 30.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Jun 26, 2026, 19:59
Resolve date
Jul 31, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.