Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
New York’s 7th congressional district Democratic primary on June 23, 2026 will determine the margin of victory between the top two candidates. The margin equals the absolute difference in percentage of valid votes between first and second place, calculated from each candidate’s share of total valid votes. If the margin lands exactly at a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies. If tied for first among listed candidates, the tie-breaker uses the listed candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically; if only one tied candidate is listed, that candidate’s bracket applies; if neither tied candidate is listed, the market resolves to Other. Final results depend on official counts published by the New York State Board of Elections, with credible reporting as a fallback if needed. If results are not definite by November 30, 2026, the market resolves to Other.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
7
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
NY-13 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMamdani team sweeps primaries?NY-10 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryNext Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028Makerfield by-election WinnerRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028Next French Presidential ElectionWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valdez 15%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Valdez 10–15% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Valdez 5–10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Valdez <5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Reynoso <5% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Reynoso 5%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.