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Description
NY-10 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory on June 23, 2026 will be determined by the margin between the top two candidates’ validated vote percentages, calculated as the absolute difference of their shares of all valid votes. If the reported margin sits exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher bracket applies. Ties among listed candidates are resolved by alphabetical last-name order, descending through the listed set; if neither is listed, the market resolves to Other. The official NY State vote count from the State Board of Elections governs settlement, with credible reporting as a fallback if results are not definitively published by November 30, 2026.
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Markets
6
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lander 30%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lander 20–30% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lander 10–20% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lander <10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Goldman wins | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.