Michael Blake to win the NY-15 Democratic primary for the U.S. House seat in 2026. Settlement uses the first official Democratic announcement of the nomination; replacement nominees do not affect this market. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles to Other.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ritchie Torres | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Michael Blake | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Amanda Septimo | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dalourny Nemorin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.