Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? concerns whether OpenAI completes an IPO valued at $1 trillion or more by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A $1 trillion valuation requires IPO offer price times outstanding shares to reach or exceed $1 trillion, and public trading must commence; private rounds and SPAC/direct listings count only if they result in public trading on a major exchange. If an IPO occurs but trading does not begin by the deadline, the market may stay open for up to 30 days to confirm listing. Acquisitions, dissolutions, or mergers before an IPO negate the Yes outcome; credible reporting will determine the final resolution.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapOpenAI IPO by...?OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?IPOs before 2027?Databricks IPO Closing Market CapSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange. OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD. Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange. If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed. If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.