Description
OpenAI market capitalization between 500 and 750 billion dollars on its first trading day; resolves to the bracket that contains the closing value, with the higher bracket in ties.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Feb 6, 2026, 23:11
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2027, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <500B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 500–750B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 750B–1T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1T–1.25T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25T–1.5T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.5T+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No IPO by December 31, 2027 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.