Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Oscars 2026 Best Adapted Screenplay winner markets cover 15 nominated films listed for the 98th Academy Awards, with a January 22 nominations announcement and a March 15 ceremony. Settles as Yes for the winning film, No if not nominated or not the winner, and Other if no winner is declared by June 30, 2026. The primary resolution source is AMPAS official results and ceremony data, with credible reporting as a fallback.
Event stats
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Markets
42
Market highlights
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Related events
Oscars 2026: Best Picture WinnerOscars 2026: Best Actor WinnerOscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress WinnerOscars 2026: Best Cinematography WinnerOscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor WinnerOscars 2026: Best Director WinnerOscars 2026: Best Actress WinnerOscars 2026: Best Costume Design WinnerOscars 2026: Best Original Song WinnerOscars 2026: Best Animated Feature Film Winner
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One Battle After Another | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hamnet | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bugonia | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wake Up Dead Man | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No Other Choice | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Frankenstein | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wicked: For Good | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| The Life of Chuck | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Train Dreams | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ballad of a Small Player | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hedda | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Is This Thing On? | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nouvelle Vague | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nuremberg | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie A | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie B | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie M | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie N | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie O | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie P | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie Q | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie R | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie S | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie T | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie U | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie V | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie W | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie X | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie Y | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie Z | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.