Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner markets track the film that wins the 98th Academy Awards. Nominations are announced January 22, 2026, with the ceremony on March 15, 2026. Markets resolve to the winning nominated film; if a film is not nominated, its market resolves to No. If no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to Other. Resolution sources include the official AMPAS announcements and the live broadcast, with credible reporting as a fallback.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
42
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Oscars 2026: Best Actor WinnerOscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress WinnerOscars 2026: Best Cinematography WinnerOscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor WinnerOscars 2026: Best Director WinnerOscars 2026: Best Actress WinnerOscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay WinnerOscars 2026: Best Costume Design WinnerOscars 2026: Best Original Song WinnerOscars 2026: Best Animated Feature Film Winner
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One Battle After Another | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hamnet | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sinners | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sentimental Value | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marty Supreme | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wicked: For Good | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bugonia | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| It Was Just an Accident | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jay Kelly | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A House of Dynamite | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Avatar: Fire and Ash | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No Other Choice | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rental Family | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Frankenstein | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F1 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| The Secret Agent | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Train Dreams | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie M | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie N | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie O | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie P | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie Q | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie R | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie S | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie T | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie U | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie V | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie W | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie X | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie Y | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie Z | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.