Description
It Was Just an Accident to win the 2026 Oscars Best Picture. Settlement depends on official nomination and victory; if not nominated, resolves to No; alphabetical ordering resolves ties.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Sep 26, 2025, 21:19
Resolve date
Jan 22, 2026, 18:07
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One Battle After Another | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hamnet | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sinners | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sentimental Value | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marty Supreme | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wicked: For Good | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bugonia | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| It Was Just an Accident | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jay Kelly | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A House of Dynamite | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Avatar: Fire and Ash | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No Other Choice | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rental Family | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Frankenstein | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F1 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| The Secret Agent | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Train Dreams | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie M | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie N | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie O | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie P | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie Q | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie R | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie S | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie T | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie U | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie V | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie W | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie X | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie Y | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Movie Z | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.