Thierry Mariani to win the 2026 Paris mayoral election. Settlement follows credible reporting of the final result; if ambiguity remains, the official results from the Ministry of the Interior will determine the outcome. Interim mayors do not count; winner determined by March election (with possible second round) or by 12/31/2026 → Other if unknown.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Éric Grégoire | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rachida Dati | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pierre-Yves Bournazel | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| David Belliard | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sophia Chikirou | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Thierry Mariani | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sarah Knafo | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Emmanuel Grégoire | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 2 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 4 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 5 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 20 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 23 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 32 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 33 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 34 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 35 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 36 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 37 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 38 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 39 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person 40 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — |
The 2026 election for the Mayor of Paris is scheduled to take place in March. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Paris mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Paris. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).